Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Alfreton Town
Home
14:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Bury
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
26%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alfreton Town wins
0
Draws
0
Bury wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
40%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
48%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alf Alfreton Town | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Bur Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alfreton Town face Bury in Non League Premier - Northern. Alfreton Town have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Bury have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Bury's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Bury to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Alfreton Town, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Bury. Our top recommended betting pick is Bury Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
