Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
AFC Emley
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Gainsborough Trinity
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
24%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
AFC Emley wins
0
Draws
0
Gainsborough Trinity wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
80%
5%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
AFC Emley
last 8 at home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.88
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Gainsborough Trinity
last 8 away from home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| AFC Emley | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
AFC Emley
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Gainsborough Trinity
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Gainsborough Trinity |
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 12 |
AFC Emley |
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
AFC Emley face Gainsborough Trinity in Non League Premier - Northern. AFC Emley have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game). Gainsborough Trinity have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Gainsborough Trinity's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Gainsborough Trinity to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for AFC Emley, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Gainsborough Trinity. Our top recommended betting pick is Gainsborough Trinity Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
