Non League Premier - Northern · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Leek Town
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Ashton United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Leek Town wins
0
Draws
0
Ashton United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
86%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Leek Town
last 8 at home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Ashton United
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Leek Town | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 100% 10/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Leek Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Ashton United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 |
Ashton United |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 |
Leek Town |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Leek Town face Ashton United in Non League Premier - Northern. Leek Town have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Ashton United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Leek Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Leek Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Leek Town, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Ashton United. Our top recommended betting pick is Leek Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
