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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Machico
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Florgrade
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
14%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
27%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Machico wins
0
Draws
0
Florgrade wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Machico
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Florgrade
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Machico | Florgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Machico
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Florgrade
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Machico face Florgrade in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B. Machico have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Florgrade have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 27% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 83% probability backing Machico, home advantage and superior chance creation make Machico to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for Machico, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Florgrade. Our top recommended betting pick is Machico Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
