Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Sanjoanense
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Guarda
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
21%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sanjoanense wins
0
Draws
0
Guarda wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Sanjoanense
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Guarda
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sanjoanense | Guarda | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Sanjoanense
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
17%
Behind
17%
Guarda
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
0%
Behind
83%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sanjoanense face Guarda in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B. Sanjoanense have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Guarda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 66% probability backing Sanjoanense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sanjoanense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Sanjoanense, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Guarda. Our top recommended betting pick is Sanjoanense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
