Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Alcúdia
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Mercadal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
22%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alcúdia wins
0
Draws
0
Mercadal wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
33%
83%
Attack
41%
25%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Alcúdia
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Mercadal
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Alcúdia | Mercadal | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Alcúdia
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Mercadal
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alcúdia face Mercadal in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Alcúdia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.5 points per game). Mercadal have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Alcúdia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alcúdia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Alcúdia, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Mercadal. Our top recommended betting pick is Alcúdia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
