Derde Divisie · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Hollandia
Home
2-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Staphorst
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
18%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Hollandia wins
0
Draws
0
Staphorst wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
6%
93%
Attack
40%
5%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Hollandia
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.25
conceded a game
Staphorst
last 3 away from home
0W
3D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Hollandia | Staphorst | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Hollandia
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Staphorst
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Staphorst |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |
Hollandia |
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Hollandia face Staphorst in Derde Divisie. Hollandia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 18 (0.4 points per game). Staphorst have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 54% probability backing Hollandia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Hollandia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Hollandia, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Staphorst. Our top recommended betting pick is Hollandia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
