Ykkönen · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
TPV
Home
4-0
Full time
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
KPV-j
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
TPV wins
0
Draws
0
KPV-j wins
11 Jul 2026
KPV-j
1 - 3
TPV
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
TPV
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
KPV-j
last 6 away from home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| TPV | KPV-j | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
TPV
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
KPV-j
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
TPV face KPV-j in Ykkönen. TPV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). KPV-j have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 15 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, TPV won 1, KPV-j won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for TPV, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for KPV-j. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass as part of the Ykkönen.
