La Liga · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Alaves
Home
14:15
d ::
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Atletico Madrid
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
24%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alaves wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Madrid wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
49%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atl Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 6 | Ala Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alaves face Atletico Madrid in La Liga. Alaves have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Atletico Madrid have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Atletico Madrid's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Atletico Madrid to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Alaves, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Atletico Madrid. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Madrid Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Mendizorrotza as part of the La Liga.
