Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Atlético Astorga
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ourense CF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
20%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Astorga wins
0
Draws
0
Ourense CF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Atlético Astorga
last 7 at home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ourense CF
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Atlético Astorga | Ourense CF | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Atlético Astorga
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Ourense CF
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Ourense CF |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 |
Atlético Astorga |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Astorga face Ourense CF in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Atlético Astorga have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Ourense CF have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 70% probability backing Atlético Astorga, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atlético Astorga to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Atlético Astorga, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Ourense CF. Our top recommended betting pick is Atlético Astorga Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
