First League · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
Mornar
Home
3-3
Full time
Stadion Topolica
Jezero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.62 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mornar wins
1
Draws
0
Jezero wins
02 Aug 2026
Jezero
0 - 0
Mornar
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
20%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
80%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Mornar
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Jezero
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mornar | Jezero | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Mornar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Jezero
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
78%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mornar face Jezero in First League. Mornar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Jezero have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Mornar won 0, Jezero won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 80% probability backing Mornar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mornar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 80% win probability for Mornar, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Jezero. Our top recommended betting pick is Mornar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 08 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica as part of the First League.
