Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Sumqayıt
Home
4-1
Full time
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Qabala
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
30%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Sumqayıt v Qabala pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sumqayıt wins
0
Draws
0
Qabala wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
13%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Sumqayıt
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Qabala
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Sumqayıt | Qabala | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 1/6 17% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 5/6 83% |
At half time
Sumqayıt
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Qabala
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sumqayıt face Qabala in Premyer Liqa. Sumqayıt have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Qabala have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 51% probability backing Sumqayıt, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sumqayıt to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Sumqayıt, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Qabala. Our top recommended betting pick is Sumqayıt Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
