III Liga - Group 1 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Łomża
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. wins
0
Draws
0
Łomża wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
53%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
last 5 at home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.40
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Łomża
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Polonia Lidzbark Warm. | Łomża | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
40%
Behind
60%
Łomża
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. |
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -4 | 15 |
| 18 |
Łomża |
15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. face Łomża in III Liga - Group 1. Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Łomża have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 55% probability backing Polonia Lidzbark Warm., home advantage and superior chance creation make Polonia Lidzbark Warm. to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warm., a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Łomża. Our top recommended betting pick is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 1.
