Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Amorebieta
Home
1-2
Full time
Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Portugalete
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
43%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.53
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Amorebieta wins
0
Draws
0
Portugalete wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
33%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Amorebieta
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Portugalete
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Amorebieta | Portugalete | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Amorebieta
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Portugalete
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Amorebieta |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |
Portugalete |
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Amorebieta face Portugalete in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Amorebieta have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Portugalete have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With evenly matched metrics (28% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Amorebieta, a 43% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Portugalete. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.53 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
