Veikkausliiga · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Mariehamn
Home
1-1
Full time
Wiklöf Holding Arena
Ilves
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.47
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
15%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
64%
1.47
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mariehamn wins
0
Draws
1
Ilves wins
09 Aug 2026
Ilves
2 - 0
Mariehamn
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
60%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
10%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Mariehamn
last 7 at home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Ilves
last 8 away from home
2W
1D
5L
0.88
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mariehamn | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Mariehamn
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
Ilves
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mariehamn face Ilves in Veikkausliiga. Mariehamn have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Ilves have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Mariehamn won 0, Ilves won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ilves's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ilves to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Mariehamn, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for Ilves. Our top recommended betting pick is Ilves Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Wiklöf Holding Arena as part of the Veikkausliiga.
