Major League Soccer · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Toronto FC
Home
2-1
Full time
BMO Field
CF Montreal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Toronto FC wins
1
Draws
0
CF Montreal wins
17 Jul 2026
CF Montreal
0 - 0
Toronto FC
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
20%
20%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
57%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Toronto FC
last 5 at home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
2.40
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
CF Montreal
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.86
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Toronto FC | CF Montreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Toronto FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
CF Montreal
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Toronto FC |
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | -15 | 39 |
| 15 |
CF Montreal |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Toronto FC face CF Montreal in Major League Soccer. Toronto FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). CF Montreal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Toronto FC won 0, CF Montreal won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Toronto FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Toronto FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Toronto FC, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for CF Montreal. Our top recommended betting pick is Toronto FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at BMO Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
