Carioca - 2 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Serrano RJ
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Macaé
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
19%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Serrano RJ wins
0
Draws
0
Macaé wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
53%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Serrano RJ
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Macaé
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Serrano RJ | Macaé | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Serrano RJ
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Macaé
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Serrano RJ face Macaé in Carioca - 2. Serrano RJ have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Macaé have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 65%.
Macaé's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Macaé to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Serrano RJ, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Macaé. Our top recommended betting pick is Macaé Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 65% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Carioca - 2.
