Major League Soccer · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Chicago Fire
Home
2-1
Full time
Soldier Field
New York City FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
20%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chicago Fire wins
0
Draws
1
New York City FC wins
26 Jul 2026
New York City FC
3 - 1
Chicago Fire
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
33%
60%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
55%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Chicago Fire
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
New York City FC
last 6 away from home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chicago Fire | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chicago Fire
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
New York City FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Chicago Fire |
34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | +10 | 55 |
| 11 |
New York City FC |
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chicago Fire face New York City FC in Major League Soccer. Chicago Fire have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (1 points per game). New York City FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Chicago Fire won 0, New York City FC won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 55% probability backing Chicago Fire, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chicago Fire to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Chicago Fire, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for New York City FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Chicago Fire Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Soldier Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
