Primera Nacional · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Almagro
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Chacarita Juniors
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
29%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Almagro wins
0
Draws
0
Chacarita Juniors wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Almagro
last 6 at home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.83
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Chacarita Juniors
last 7 away from home
1W
1D
5L
0.57
points a game
0.29
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Almagro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Chacarita Juniors
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Almagro |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 |
Chacarita Juniors |
35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | -8 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Almagro face Chacarita Juniors in Primera Nacional. Almagro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Chacarita Juniors have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 40% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Almagro, home advantage and superior chance creation make Almagro to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Almagro, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Chacarita Juniors. Our top recommended betting pick is Almagro Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero as part of the Primera Nacional.
