Ligue 1 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Monaco
Home
2-2
Full time
Stade Louis II
Toulouse
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monaco wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
46%
80%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
27%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mon Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 | Tou Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monaco face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Monaco have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Toulouse have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 52% probability backing Monaco, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monaco to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Monaco, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Monaco Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Louis II as part of the Ligue 1.
