Primera Nacional · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Quilmes
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
Agropecuario
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
28%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.87
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
Agropecuario wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
6%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Quilmes
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Agropecuario
last 6 away from home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Quilmes | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Agropecuario
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
70%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Agropecuario |
35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face Agropecuario in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Agropecuario have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 53% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Quilmes, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Agropecuario. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.87 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
