Eredivisie · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Ajax
Home
19:00
d ::
Johan Cruijff Arena
NEC Nijmegen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
20%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
62%
1.52
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ajax wins
0
Draws
0
NEC Nijmegen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
95%
Attack
26%
40%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
26%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aja Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 11 | NEC NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ajax face NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie. Ajax have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). NEC Nijmegen have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 62%.
With a 54% probability backing Ajax, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ajax to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Ajax, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for NEC Nijmegen. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 62% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena as part of the Eredivisie.
