Segunda División · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Cerrito
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Tacuarembo
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.56 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cerrito wins
1
Draws
0
Tacuarembo wins
05 Jul 2026
Tacuarembo
0 - 0
Cerrito
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
60%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
36%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Cerrito
last 8 at home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Tacuarembo
last 6 away from home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Cerrito | Tacuarembo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
Cerrito
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Tacuarembo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cerrito face Tacuarembo in Segunda División. Cerrito have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game). Tacuarembo have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Cerrito won 0, Tacuarembo won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (36% vs 35%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 36% win probability for Cerrito, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Tacuarembo. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División.
