Primera B Metropolitana · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Argentino de Merlo
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva
Sportivo Italiano
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Argentino de Merlo v Sportivo Italiano pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Argentino de Merlo wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Argentino de Merlo
last 8 at home
2W
4D
2L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Sportivo Italiano
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Argentino de Merlo | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Argentino de Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Sportivo Italiano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
| 15 |
Argentino de Merlo |
41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Argentino de Merlo face Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana. Argentino de Merlo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Sportivo Italiano have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Argentino de Merlo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sportivo Italiano. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
