Primera B Metropolitana · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Excursionistas
Home
4-0
Full time
Excursionistas Stadium
Villa San Carlos
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excursionistas wins
0
Draws
0
Villa San Carlos wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
13%
60%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Excursionistas
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Villa San Carlos
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Excursionistas | Villa San Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Excursionistas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Villa San Carlos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excursionistas |
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +37 | 81 |
| 12 |
Villa San Carlos |
40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | -3 | 50 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excursionistas face Villa San Carlos in Primera B Metropolitana. Excursionistas have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Villa San Carlos have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Excursionistas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excursionistas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Excursionistas, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Villa San Carlos. Our top recommended betting pick is Excursionistas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
