Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Deportivo Laferrere
Home
1-1
Full time
Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
27%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Laferrere wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
13%
53%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Deportivo Laferrere
last 8 at home
1W
5D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Deportivo Merlo
last 8 away from home
0W
5D
3L
0.63
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportivo Laferrere | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 7/10 70% |
At half time
Deportivo Laferrere
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Deportivo Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Deportivo Laferrere |
41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | -2 | 58 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Laferrere face Deportivo Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. Deportivo Laferrere have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Deportivo Merlo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Deportivo Laferrere, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Laferrere to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Deportivo Laferrere, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Deportivo Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Laferrere Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
