Primera C · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
Atletico Atlas
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
El Porvenir
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Atlas wins
0
Draws
0
El Porvenir wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
26%
5%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Atletico Atlas
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
0.83
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
El Porvenir
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Atlas | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Atletico Atlas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
El Porvenir
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Atletico Atlas |
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 37 |
| 10 |
El Porvenir |
31 | 7 | 16 | 8 | -5 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Atlas face El Porvenir in Primera C. Atletico Atlas have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 0 and conceding 5 (0.2 points per game). El Porvenir have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Atletico Atlas, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for El Porvenir. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 12 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera C.
