Liga Nacional · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Aurora
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Xelajú
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aurora wins
0
Draws
1
Xelajú wins
04 Aug 2026
Xelajú
3 - 1
Aurora
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
34%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Aurora
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Xelajú
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aurora | Xelajú | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Aurora
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Xelajú
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aurora face Xelajú in Liga Nacional. Aurora have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Xelajú have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aurora won 0, Xelajú won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Xelajú's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Xelajú to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Aurora, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Xelajú. Our top recommended betting pick is Xelajú Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing as part of the Liga Nacional.
