Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Tlaxcala
Home
4-2
Full time
Estadio Tlahuicole
Piratas
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tlaxcala wins
0
Draws
0
Piratas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
53%
Attack
80%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Tlaxcala
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Piratas
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tlaxcala | Piratas | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Tlaxcala
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Piratas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tlaxcala face Piratas in Liga de Expansión MX. Tlaxcala have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game). Piratas have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Tlaxcala, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Piratas. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Tlahuicole as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
