Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Venados FC
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venados FC wins
0
Draws
0
Leones Negros UDG wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
80%
Attack
80%
33%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Venados FC
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Leones Negros UDG
last 5 away from home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Venados FC | Leones Negros UDG | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Venados FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Leones Negros UDG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
10%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Leones Negros UDG |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 5 |
Venados FC |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Venados FC face Leones Negros UDG in Liga de Expansión MX. Venados FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Leones Negros UDG have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Venados FC, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Leones Negros UDG. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
