Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
Santa Amalia
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Villafranca
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
14%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
67%
1.40
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.23
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santa Amalia wins
0
Draws
0
Villafranca wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
55%
Recent form
33%
44%
Attack
44%
89%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Santa Amalia
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Villafranca
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Santa Amalia | Villafranca | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Santa Amalia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Villafranca
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |
Villafranca |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santa Amalia |
9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Santa Amalia face Villafranca in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14. Santa Amalia have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (1.67 points per game). Villafranca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 81% probability backing Santa Amalia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Santa Amalia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Santa Amalia, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Villafranca. Our top recommended betting pick is Santa Amalia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.23 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 09 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
