Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Atlético Albericia
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Castro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
30%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Albericia wins
0
Draws
0
Castro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
8%
Recent form
41%
25%
Attack
33%
41%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Atlético Albericia
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Castro
last 2 away from home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Atlético Albericia | Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Atlético Albericia
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Castro
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Castro |
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Atlético Albericia |
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Albericia face Castro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Atlético Albericia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.25 points per game). Castro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
Castro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Atlético Albericia, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Castro. Our top recommended betting pick is Castro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 18:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
