Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
Sámano
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Velarde
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
7%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sámano wins
0
Draws
0
Velarde wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
33%
91%
Attack
16%
58%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sámano
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Velarde
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Sámano | Velarde | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 4/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Sámano
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Velarde
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sámano face Velarde in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3. Sámano have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.75 points per game). Velarde have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 90% probability backing Sámano, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sámano to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Sámano, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Velarde. Our top recommended betting pick is Sámano Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 10 Oct 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
