Major League Soccer · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Minnesota United FC
Home
2-2
Full time
Allianz Field
Houston Dynamo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
18%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Minnesota United FC wins
0
Draws
0
Houston Dynamo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
40%
80%
Attack
26%
5%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Minnesota United FC
last 8 at home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Houston Dynamo
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Minnesota United FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Houston Dynamo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Houston Dynamo |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC |
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Minnesota United FC face Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer. Minnesota United FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 17 (0.2 points per game). Houston Dynamo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Minnesota United FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Minnesota United FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Minnesota United FC, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Houston Dynamo. Our top recommended betting pick is Minnesota United FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Allianz Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
