Major League Soccer · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Sporting Kansas City
Home
3-3
Full time
Children's Mercy Park
Portland Timbers
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Kansas City wins
0
Draws
0
Portland Timbers wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
66%
Attack
60%
6%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Sporting Kansas City
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Portland Timbers
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sporting Kansas City | Portland Timbers | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Sporting Kansas City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Portland Timbers
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Portland Timbers |
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +1 | 46 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City |
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | -41 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Kansas City face Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer. Sporting Kansas City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game). Portland Timbers have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Sporting Kansas City, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Portland Timbers. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park as part of the Major League Soccer.
