USL Championship · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
New Mexico United
Home
3-1
Full time
Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Monterey Bay
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
59%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
New Mexico United wins
0
Draws
0
Monterey Bay wins
09 Aug 2026
Monterey Bay
2 - 5
New Mexico United
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
53%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
72%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
New Mexico United
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Monterey Bay
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| New Mexico United | Monterey Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
New Mexico United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Monterey Bay
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
New Mexico United |
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay |
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
New Mexico United face Monterey Bay in USL Championship. New Mexico United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Monterey Bay have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, New Mexico United won 1, Monterey Bay won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 59% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing New Mexico United, home advantage and superior chance creation make New Mexico United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for New Mexico United, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Monterey Bay. Our top recommended betting pick is New Mexico United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park as part of the USL Championship.
