Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Liga Nacional · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Malacateco
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Guastatoya
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Malacateco wins
0
Draws
1
Guastatoya wins
02 Aug 2026
Guastatoya
4 - 0
Malacateco
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
86%
33%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
31%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Malacateco
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Guastatoya
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Malacateco | Guastatoya | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Malacateco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Guastatoya
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Malacateco face Guastatoya in Liga Nacional. Malacateco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Guastatoya have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Malacateco won 0, Guastatoya won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
Guastatoya's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Guastatoya to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Malacateco, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Guastatoya. Our top recommended betting pick is Guastatoya Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Nacional.
