Primera A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Atletico Nacional
Home
01:15
d ::
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Deportivo Pasto
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
7%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
67%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Nacional wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Pasto wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atl Atletico Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 19 | Dep Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -9 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Nacional face Deportivo Pasto in Primera A. Atletico Nacional have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Deportivo Pasto have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 67% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Atletico Nacional, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Nacional to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Atletico Nacional, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Deportivo Pasto. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Nacional Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 01:15 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot as part of the Primera A.
