J2 League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Montedio Yamagata
Home
0-1
Full time
ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
Vegalta Sendai
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Montedio Yamagata wins
0
Draws
0
Vegalta Sendai wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
80%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
Montedio Yamagata
last 6 at home
2W
0D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Vegalta Sendai
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Montedio Yamagata | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Montedio Yamagata
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
Vegalta Sendai
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Vegalta Sendai |
16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Montedio Yamagata |
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Montedio Yamagata face Vegalta Sendai in J2 League. Montedio Yamagata have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Vegalta Sendai have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Vegalta Sendai's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Vegalta Sendai to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Montedio Yamagata, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Vegalta Sendai. Our top recommended betting pick is Vegalta Sendai Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 04:05 (East Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata as part of the J2 League.
