K League 1 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Gwangju FC
Home
4-3
Full time
Gwangju Football Stadium
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
26%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gwangju FC wins
1
Draws
0
Ulsan Hyundai FC wins
05 Jul 2026
Gwangju FC
1 - 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
66%
46%
Attack
46%
26%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
49%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Gwangju FC
last 8 at home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Ulsan Hyundai FC
last 8 away from home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gwangju FC | Ulsan Hyundai FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Gwangju FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Ulsan Hyundai FC |
35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | +7 | 57 |
| 12 |
Gwangju FC |
35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -39 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gwangju FC face Ulsan Hyundai FC in K League 1. Gwangju FC have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Ulsan Hyundai FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Gwangju FC won 0, Ulsan Hyundai FC won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Gwangju FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gwangju FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Gwangju FC, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Ulsan Hyundai FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Gwangju FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium as part of the K League 1.
