J1 League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
JEF United Chiba
Home
1-1
Full time
Fukuda Denshi Arena
V-varen Nagasaki
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
JEF United Chiba wins
0
Draws
0
V-varen Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
JEF United Chiba
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
V-varen Nagasaki
last 8 away from home
2W
0D
6L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| JEF United Chiba | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
JEF United Chiba
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
V-varen Nagasaki
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
JEF United Chiba face V-varen Nagasaki in J1 League. JEF United Chiba have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). V-varen Nagasaki have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for JEF United Chiba, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for V-varen Nagasaki. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena as part of the J1 League.
