J1 League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Tokyo Verdy
Home
0-2
Full time
Ajinomoto Stadium
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
35%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
30%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.66
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tokyo Verdy wins
0
Draws
0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
26%
Attack
95%
60%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Tokyo Verdy
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Tokyo Verdy
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Tokyo Verdy face Sanfrecce Hiroshima in J1 League. Tokyo Verdy have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 30% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for Tokyo Verdy, a 35% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Our top recommended betting pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.66 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 06:00 (East Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium as part of the J1 League.
