Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
UCAM Murcia II
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Mazarrón FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UCAM Murcia II wins
0
Draws
0
Mazarrón FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
8%
58%
Attack
25%
58%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
UCAM Murcia II
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Mazarrón FC
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| UCAM Murcia II | Mazarrón FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
UCAM Murcia II
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Mazarrón FC
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
75%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
UCAM Murcia II |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 18 |
Mazarrón FC |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
UCAM Murcia II face Mazarrón FC in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13. UCAM Murcia II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1 points per game). Mazarrón FC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 85% probability backing UCAM Murcia II, home advantage and superior chance creation make UCAM Murcia II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for UCAM Murcia II, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Mazarrón FC. Our top recommended betting pick is UCAM Murcia II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 08:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
