NB III - Southwest · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
MTK Budapest II
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Érdi VSE
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.55 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
77%
Draw
10%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
MTK Budapest II wins
0
Draws
0
Érdi VSE wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
86%
33%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
77%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
MTK Budapest II
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Érdi VSE
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| MTK Budapest II | Érdi VSE | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
MTK Budapest II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Érdi VSE
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
MTK Budapest II face Érdi VSE in NB III - Southwest. MTK Budapest II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Érdi VSE have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 77% probability backing MTK Budapest II, home advantage and superior chance creation make MTK Budapest II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 77% win probability for MTK Budapest II, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Érdi VSE. Our top recommended betting pick is MTK Budapest II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the NB III - Southwest.
