J2 League · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Shonan Bellmare
Home
1-1
Full time
Lemon Gas Stadium
Albirex Niigata
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
23%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.03
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Shonan Bellmare wins
0
Draws
0
Albirex Niigata wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
33%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Shonan Bellmare
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Albirex Niigata
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Shonan Bellmare | Albirex Niigata | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Shonan Bellmare
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Albirex Niigata
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albirex Niigata |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 |
Shonan Bellmare |
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | +1 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Shonan Bellmare face Albirex Niigata in J2 League. Shonan Bellmare have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Albirex Niigata have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Shonan Bellmare, home advantage and superior chance creation make Shonan Bellmare to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Shonan Bellmare, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Albirex Niigata. Our top recommended betting pick is Shonan Bellmare Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.03 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Lemon Gas Stadium as part of the J2 League.
