Esiliiga A · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Maardu
Home
09:30
d ::
Maardu linnastaadion
Nõmme Kalju II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
15%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Maardu wins
0
Draws
0
Nõmme Kalju II wins
01 Aug 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
1 - 4
Maardu
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
20%
66%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
20%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
71%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Maardu
last 7 at home
5W
0D
2L
2.14
points a game
1.86
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Nõmme Kalju II
last 7 away from home
1W
1D
5L
0.57
points a game
0.71
scored a game
2.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Maardu | Nõmme Kalju II | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Maardu
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Nõmme Kalju II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Maardu face Nõmme Kalju II in Esiliiga A. Maardu have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game). Nõmme Kalju II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Maardu won 1, Nõmme Kalju II won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 71% probability backing Maardu, home advantage and superior chance creation make Maardu to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Maardu, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Nõmme Kalju II. Our top recommended betting pick is Maardu Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at Maardu linnastaadion as part of the Esiliiga A.
