Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Casalarreina
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Alfaro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.45
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.19
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
13%
Away
77%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
65%
1.45
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
74%
1.27
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
74%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Casalarreina wins
0
Draws
0
Alfaro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
25%
Recent form
58%
25%
Attack
58%
41%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
77%
Home and away record
Casalarreina
last 1 at home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Alfaro
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Casalarreina | Alfaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 3/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Casalarreina
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
Alfaro
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Casalarreina face Alfaro in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Casalarreina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.75 points per game). Alfaro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Alfaro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 77% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Alfaro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Casalarreina, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 77% probability for Alfaro. Our top recommended betting pick is Alfaro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
