I Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Stal Mielec
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu
Warta Poznań
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.28 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
66%
Draw
12%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.18
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stal Mielec wins
0
Draws
0
Warta Poznań wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
66%
5%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
66%
Win probability
18%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Warta Poznań |
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Stal Mielec face Warta Poznań in I Liga. Stal Mielec have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 15 (0.4 points per game). Warta Poznań have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 66% probability backing Stal Mielec, home advantage and superior chance creation make Stal Mielec to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 66% win probability for Stal Mielec, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Warta Poznań. Our top recommended betting pick is Stal Mielec Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.18 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu as part of the I Liga.
