Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Poblense
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Castellón II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.82 - 2.35
Win probability
Home
5%
Draw
11%
Away
84%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Poblense wins
0
Draws
0
Castellón II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
84%
Home and away record
Poblense
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Castellón II
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Poblense | Castellón II | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Poblense
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Castellón II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Castellón II |
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 18 |
| 11 |
Poblense |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Poblense face Castellón II in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3. Poblense have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Castellón II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Castellón II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 84% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castellón II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 5% win probability for Poblense, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 84% probability for Castellón II. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
