Segunda Liga · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
Lusitânia Lourosa
Home
10:00
d ::
Venue TBC
Chaves
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
6%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lusitânia Lourosa wins
0
Draws
0
Chaves wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lusitânia Lourosa face Chaves in Segunda Liga. Lusitânia Lourosa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Chaves have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 86% probability backing Lusitânia Lourosa, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lusitânia Lourosa to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Lusitânia Lourosa, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Chaves. Our top recommended betting pick is Lusitânia Lourosa Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 11 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda Liga.
